South Africa is emerging as a global leader in macadamia production, despite obstacles such as recently imposed tariffs by the United States.
According to Alex Whyte, director of Green Farms Nut Company, the country’s industry remains resilient amid market instability and pricing pressures.
Forecasts suggest that macadamia output could potentially double within the next ten years.
Prices over the 2022–2024 period had slowed crop-growth momentum, prompting some growers to scale back investment or remove orchards altogether, resulting in lower yields.
Unfortunately, the original estimate of 95 500 tonnes for the 2025 harvest might be missed.
Nevertheless, production is still anticipated to reach between 90 000 and 94 000 tonnes.
Whyte stressed that long-term prospects for the sector remained positive.
Figures from the International Nut Council show South Africa leading the global rankings, with 2024 production expected at 89 200 tonnes and a rise to 95 500 tonnes by 2025.
In China, the comparative figures are 69 500 tonnes in 2024 and 74 500 in 2025.
Australia follows with expected yields of 53 950 tonnes and 56 890 tonnes over the same years, while Kenya and the United States trail with significantly lower projections.
South Africa is home to an estimated 1 300 to 1 500 macadamia growers, typically managing farms of around 50 hectares.
Approximately 95% of South Africa’s macadamia harvest is destined for export markets.