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Freight & Trading Weekly

Drought may cost SA R2bn

29 Jan 2016 - by Liesl Venter
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123% increase in dry bulk volumes expected at CT port

National agricultural

production is estimated to

have declined by more than

42% due to the ongoing

drought, according to the

Western Cape minister

for economic affairs Alan

Winde.

“It has been estimated

that we will need to import

750 000 tons of maize

because of the decline in

production. At the current

maize price, this would

result in a trade loss of

R2.4 billion,” he said last

week ahead of a MINMEC

(ministers and members of

executive council) meeting

where he will table a report

on the impact of the drought.

The Western Cape

economic planning unit was

tasked by Winde to complete

an early analysis of the

impact of the drought.

“This drought may cost the

country more than R2 billion

in trade losses,” said Winde.

According to Sipho Nzuza,

port manager at the Port

of Cape Town, agricultural

imports due to the drought

have resulted in budgets for

dry bulk having to be revised

significantly.

“We are expecting a 123%

increase due to the drought,”

he told FTW.

But as national

agricultural production has

declined it has resulted in a

1.1% decrease in the country’s

gross domestic product.

With national production

down and imports on the

increase, Winde predicted

that consumers would start

feeling the effects of the

drought locally as food prices

increased.

He said the report that

had been drawn up was

comprehensive and would

give a clear indication of the

impact expected.

In the Western Cape

dealing with this impact has

been a priority.

In December emergency

support packages for

emerging farmers in the

hardest hit areas were

approved.

The province has also

appealed to the national

government for drought

relief.

According to Colin Deiner,

head of the Western Cape

Disaster Management Centre

(WCDMC), the drought

situation is continuously

being monitored.

The main areas of concern

are Witzenberg, Prins Albert

and Oudtshoorn.

“The West Coast and

Central Karoo Districts also

remain of some concern at

present,” he said.

INSERT & CAPTION

750 000t of maize will have to be imported

 

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