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Freight & Trading Weekly

Are Zim’s economic fortunes changing?

29 Jan 2016 - by Adele Mackenzie
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Zimbabwe’s government

seems to be waking up

to the fact that it cannot

keep up its draconian

policies or it will continue

to drive away much-needed

investment,

which has

boosted the

country’s

economic

growth

prospects.

The African

Development Bank (AfDB)

in its Economic Growth

Outlook 2016 report for

Zimbabwe predicted a

marginal improvement in

economic growth, pointing

out that there was a need to

continue implementation

of structural reforms

to improve the business

environment, reform public

enterprises and make

growth more inclusive.

In its report, AfDB

commented that

various initiatives

had been taken to

address these issues

but progress had

been limited by slow

implementation of

the related policies and

strategies.

“Government has

stepped up its engagement

with the private sector

and seems to be looking at

more of a ‘carrot’ approach

to stimulate investment

and buy-in of the country’s

policies rather than the

‘stick’ approach it had

before,” said Duncan

Bonnett, director at

African specialist

consultancy, Whitehouse &

Associates.

According to him, this

could be a positive sign

that Zimbabwe’s fortunes

could soon change. And

if the country’s economic

prospects do take a positive

turn, they could turn

very quickly.

“Despite 15 years of

decline in Zimbabwe,

the infrastructure is

still better than that of

a lot of other countries

in the southern African

region,” said Bonnett.

He added that

although Zimbabwe’s

local industry had been

negatively affected

during the decline there

was still a lot of potential

around its agricultural and

commodities sectors.

“Zimbabwe’s export

basket has changed over

the years. In the 1990s and

early 2 000s it offered a lot

of value-added products

when its manufacturing

sector was thriving. With

local industry declining

however, it has opened

opportunities for increased

imports from South

Africa,” he said.

Zimbabwe Reserve

Bank governor, Dr John

Panonetsa Mangudya, is

also optimistic about an

economic transformation

this year, noting that this

would be on the back

of positive gains in the

ongoing implementation

of the country’s debt and

arrears clearance strategy.

“We are on target in the

mobilisation of financial

resources required to settle

the external debt arrears,”

Mangudya said, adding

this was part of a number

of “investor confidence

boosting initiatives” that

would bear fruit this year.

INSERT & CAPTION

Government seems to

be looking at more of

a ‘carrot’ approach to

stimulate investment.

– Duncan Bonnett

CAPTION 

Harare CBD.


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