Customs

WTO and IMF develop an indicator to measure global trade policy dynamics

On 24 October 2025, the World Trade Organization (WTO) advised that its economists, along with those of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), had developed a new Trade Policy Activity (TPA) Index, which revealed a marked increase in trade policy activity from around 2019 to 2020, reflecting heightened interventions in trade for a range of policy objectives. The change also coincides with the period of the COVID-19 pandemic, heightened trade policy tensions among major economies, and increasing geopolitical risks. The future development of the indicator can help fill a significant information gap by providing policymakers with an early warning of possible policy shifts.

The Index draws insights from a wide range of information on trade policy measures, covering a large number of economies and products. Using a Dynamic Factor Model, the new WTO-IMF Trade TPA Index captures global trade policy dynamics in a timely and comprehensive fashion.

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